Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.887955 9.147620 10.504089 12.068695 13.818710 15.710901 17.906514
2025-12-21 6.102832 7.771393 9.702575 12.084648 14.924401 18.181360 22.178026
2025-12-28 5.179388 7.082391 9.407265 12.418877 16.175761 20.664854 26.387221
2026-01-04 4.481575 6.518193 9.124021 12.640894 17.194642 22.818886 30.208410
2026-01-11 3.881156 5.975943 8.771723 12.686276 17.924260 24.582184 33.559708
2026-01-18 3.267270 5.323826 8.184785 12.335446 18.065719 25.548522 35.884120
2026-01-25 2.789697 4.798416 7.704501 12.062220 18.253225 26.537506 38.229535
2026-02-01 2.381984 4.321599 7.236995 11.749544 18.336908 27.355441 40.340836
2026-02-08 2.045397 3.910498 6.819903 11.461991 18.414522 28.138653 42.401821
2026-02-15 1.743896 3.516038 6.385351 11.103033 18.348083 28.692979 44.138592
2026-02-22 1.574939 3.324907 6.250233 11.183718 18.920618 30.158597 47.184465
2026-03-01 1.419073 3.136464 6.099271 11.221290 19.418041 31.520807 50.113331
2026-03-08 1.291855 2.987357 6.003836 11.344806 20.058817 33.126928 53.466870
2026-03-15 1.161617 2.815281 5.851914 11.360764 20.525279 34.484023 56.494192
2026-03-22 1.089865 2.749826 5.881052 11.678605 21.480940 36.604036 60.706125
2026-03-29 1.010370 2.657647 5.851819 11.889768 22.266559 38.482951 64.603752
2026-04-05 0.917787 2.524674 5.733426 11.932935 22.770779 39.935243 67.888667
2026-04-12 0.792552 2.300497 5.418545 11.599263 22.620763 40.347036 69.581781
2026-04-19 0.690413 2.113011 5.156275 11.339459 22.575830 40.912920 71.515845
2026-04-26 0.597093 1.930962 4.885945 11.042212 22.444607 41.325490 73.209400
2026-05-03 0.517196 1.768443 4.638916 10.768912 22.335783 41.761432 74.940305
2026-05-10 0.441844 1.603531 4.368628 10.427837 22.082773 41.941690 76.255854
2026-05-17 0.404858 1.537744 4.310446 10.504494 22.589432 43.401554 79.669215